Feature article

Mortgage rate decisions a key theme for 2025

To fix or not to fix

Kelvin Davidson
Last updated: 15 January 2025 | 5 min read
AI

AI summary

New Zealand borrowers are currently favouring short-term fixes and floating rates to capitalise on falling mortgage rates. Only 10% of new loans are fixed for over a year, a significant drop from 51% a year ago.

A key theme for 2025 is when borrowers will see value in longer-term fixed rates again. Many experts believe future Reserve Bank rate cuts are already priced into current long-term rates, suggesting they may not fall much further. Mortgage lending is expected to continue expanding.

However, there are a number of other interesting aspects to these figures:

Which brings us to the key question facing borrowers: to fix or not to fix?

Author

Kelvin Davidson Kelvin Davidson
Chief Property Economist, Cotality