Feature article

Property values drift down -0.4% as the market enters a holding pattern

Will house prices crash or surge? Neither likely.

Kelvin Davidson
Last updated: 16 September 2026 | 3 min read
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AI summary

New Zealand's property market is in a holding pattern, with values drifting down -0.4% in August according to Cotality. This is a modest drift, not a renewed slump, with national values only 1% below last year.

While Auckland and Wellington have seen slight falls, other centres like Christchurch and Queenstown remain resilient.

Improved affordability for buyers is being offset by economic fragility and election uncertainty, meaning a major shift isn't expected until the labour market strengthens.

A downwards drift, not a renewed slump

Main centres split as regional resilience shines

Improved affordability, but no boom in sight

Author

Kelvin Davidson Kelvin Davidson
Chief Property Economist, Cotality