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Interest rates just hit a fresh low. Could we see a rate starting with 3 in by the new year?

Banks are vying for our business by advertising lower rates.

Damien Venuto
Last updated: 30 October 2025 | 4 min read
AI

AI summary

Intense bank competition is pushing down fixed mortgage rates, with TSB offering a market-leading 4.39% one-year rate. This is driven by a slow housing market and banks pricing in an anticipated Official Cash Rate (OCR) cut.

While another OCR cut is expected, a rate below 4% is unlikely unless the Reserve Bank signals further cuts in the new year. Homeowners should watch the November announcement for guidance before deciding whether to lock in a rate.

Competition heats up

Economist Cameron Bagrie believes we’re nearing the trough in the cycle

Why are rates dropping now?

Lock now, or wait for lower rates?

Is the magic 3 possible?

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Damien Venuto Damien Venuto
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