Feature article

Property value upturn remains elusive for now

The numbers show a market that is steady but not surging.

Kelvin Davidson
Last updated: 8 December 2025 | 3 min read
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New Zealand's property market recovery is stalled, with the Cotality Home Value Index showing flat national values. Economist Kelvin Davidson notes this masks regional differences, with Auckland falling while cities like Hamilton and Christchurch see growth.

High property stock levels and a cautious labour market are currently restraining widespread price increases. Modest growth is forecast for 2026, though it may be capped by factors like debt-to-income restrictions, keeping pricing power with buyers for now.

The national picture

A region-by-region breakdown

Why aren't prices rising faster?

Looking ahead to 2026

Author

Kelvin Davidson Kelvin Davidson
Chief Property Economist, Cotality