Feature article

Property value upturn remains elusive for now

The numbers show a market that is steady but not surging.

Kelvin Davidson
Last updated: 8 December 2025 | 3 min read
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New Zealand's property market recovery remains stalled, with the Cotality Home Value Index showing flat national values. While cities like Hamilton and Christchurch are seeing growth, Auckland continues to fall.

According to economist Kelvin Davidson, high stock levels and a cautious labour market are keeping prices down, giving buyers more power. Modest house price growth is forecast for 2026, though potential restrictions like debt-to-income limits could cap any significant increases.

The national picture

A region-by-region breakdown

Why aren't prices rising faster?

Looking ahead to 2026

Author

Kelvin Davidson Kelvin Davidson
Chief Property Economist, Cotality