Feature article

Property value upturn remains elusive for now

The numbers show a market that is steady but not surging.

Kelvin Davidson
Last updated: 8 December 2025 | 3 min read
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The New Zealand property market recovery is stalled, with the Cotality Home Value Index showing flat national values in November. According to Kelvin Davidson of Cotality, values remain well below their 2022 peak.

Regional performance is mixed; Auckland continues to fall while cities like Hamilton and Christchurch see modest gains. Key restraints on growth include high property stock levels favouring buyers and labour market caution. A modest upturn is forecast for 2026, though potential DTI limits may apply.

The national picture

A region-by-region breakdown

Why aren't prices rising faster?

Looking ahead to 2026

Author

Kelvin Davidson Kelvin Davidson
Chief Property Economist, Cotality