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The year of conflicting forces

Where to next for the NZ housing market?

Kelvin Davidson
Last updated: 14 August 2025 | 4 min read
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AI summary

The NZ housing market is experiencing a "subdued year" due to conflicting forces, according to CoreLogic economist Kelvin Davidson.

Positive factors like easing listings and active first home buyers are being offset by a weak economy. This balance has resulted in a flat market, with prices not expected to rebound sharply soon.

This period of stability presents continued opportunities for buyers before a potential market recovery is expected to begin in 2026.

A flat market, as predicted

Tailwinds: what’s supporting the market?

Headwinds: what’s holding the market back?

The outlook: stability now, stronger growth later

Author

Kelvin Davidson Kelvin Davidson
Chief Property Economist, Cotality