Feature article

Tariffs and global uncertainty: potential affects on the NZ property market

From Property Economist Kelvin Davidson

Kelvin Davidson
Last updated: 7 May 2025 | 3 min read
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AI summary

Global tariffs and economic uncertainty present mixed signals for the NZ property market. According to property economist Kelvin Davidson, slower GDP growth could keep mortgage rates low, but this is offset by job insecurity and general household uncertainty.

A high number of listings currently favours buyers, keeping prices in check, while potential debt-to-income ratio limits also loom. Despite these conflicting pressures, the overall forecast remains a modest and slow upturn in sales and property values for 2025.

The tariffs in a nutshell

The possible property market affects

How are people reacting?

Nothing yet to suggest the housing market will swing wildly up or down

Author

Kelvin Davidson Kelvin Davidson
Chief Property Economist, Cotality