Feature article

Tariffs and global uncertainty: potential affects on the NZ property market

From Property Economist Kelvin Davidson

Kelvin Davidson
Last updated: 7 May 2025 | 3 min read
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AI summary

Global tariffs and economic uncertainty create mixed signals for the NZ property market. Property economist Kelvin Davidson suggests slower GDP growth could keep mortgage rates low.

This could boost sales and prices, but a weaker economy and job uncertainty may work against it. The market also has high listings favouring buyers and potential debt-to-income ratio limits looming.

Overall, the forecast for 2025 remains a modest, slow upturn in sales and values, not a major swing.

The tariffs in a nutshell

The possible property market affects

How are people reacting?

Nothing yet to suggest the housing market will swing wildly up or down

Author

Kelvin Davidson Kelvin Davidson
Chief Property Economist, Cotality