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Tariffs and global uncertainty: potential affects on the NZ property market

From Property Economist Kelvin Davidson

Kelvin Davidson
Last updated: 7 May 2025 | 3 min read
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AI summary

Global tariffs and economic uncertainty create mixed signals for the NZ property market. Property economist Kelvin Davidson notes that slower GDP growth could keep mortgage rates low, potentially boosting sales.

However, this is countered by job insecurity and a weaker economy. The market also has a high number of listings, giving buyers power and capping prices. Despite the uncertainty, a modest, slow upturn in sales and values is still the most likely forecast for 2025.

The tariffs in a nutshell

The possible property market affects

How are people reacting?

Nothing yet to suggest the housing market will swing wildly up or down

Author

Kelvin Davidson Kelvin Davidson
Chief Property Economist, Cotality