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Official cash rate cuts may not necessarily drive a new housing boom

What underpins the OCR change and how might the housing market react?

Kelvin Davidson
Last updated: 3 September 2024 | 5 min read
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The Reserve Bank has cut the Official Cash Rate (OCR) as inflation nears its target and the economy weakens. This could see mortgage rates fall towards 5.5% by late 2025, potentially boosting short-term market sentiment.

However, a new housing boom is not guaranteed. A strong or lasting upturn may be restrained by several factors, including poor housing affordability, a high number of listings, rising unemployment, and the binding effect of new Debt-to-Income (DTI) ratio restrictions.

Author

Kelvin Davidson Kelvin Davidson
Chief Property Economist, Cotality